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Day 1 - Tues 11/14
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9:00 - 9:15am
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2023 Annual Meeting Opening
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Aaron Poyer
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9:15 - 11:00am
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1A: Leadership Remarks and Updates
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Chair: Aaron Poyer
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9:15 - 9:30am
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1A.1: OSTI-Modeling Opening Remarks
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Kevin Garrett
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9:30 - 9:45am
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1A.2: NHC Remarks and Updates
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Mike Brennan / Jamie Rhome
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9:45 - 10:00am
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1A.3: EMC Remarks and Updates
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Vijay Tallapragada / Avichal Mehra
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10:00 - 10:15am
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1A.4: HRD Remarks and Updates
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Gopal / Frank Marks
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10:15 - 11:00am
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1A.5: A TC Career Retrospective
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Frank Marks
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11:00 - 11:15am
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Break
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11:15am - 1:00pm
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1B: Forecaster Needs and Activities Supporting Operations
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Chairs: Jamie Rhome / Jessica Schauer
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11:15 - 11:30am
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1B.1: NHC season summary, analysis, and forecasting challenges
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Lisa Bucci
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11:30 - 11:45am
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1B.2: NHC Verification
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John Cangialosi
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11:45am - 12:00pm
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1B.3: NHC Technical Round Up
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Dave Zellinsky
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12:00 - 12:15pm
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1B.4: Operational storm surge modeling
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Andrew Penny/Laura Alaka
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12:15 - 12:30pm
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1B.5: WPC Rainfall/Flooding
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Jim Nelson
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12:30 - 12:45pm
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1B.6: Case Studies of HAFS-A Utility at JTWC
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Levi Cowan
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12:45 - 1:00pm
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1B.7: Discussion Q&A
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1:00 - 2:00pm
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Lunch (On Site)
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2:00 - 2:15pm
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Group Photo or Transition to Afternoon
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2:15 - 4:00pm
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2A: Challenging storm working group
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Chairs: Vijay Tallapragada / Jim Doyle
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2:15 - 2:25pm
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2A.1: Issues identified by NHC Forecasters
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Jamie Rhome
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2:25 - 2:35pm
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2A.2: EMC/HRD Developer identified HAFS challenges
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Zhan Zhang / Xuejin Zhang
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2:35 - 2:45pm
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2A.3: Updates from UKMO
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Julian Hemming
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2:45 - 2:55pm
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2A.4: Updates from ECMWF
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Linus Magnusson
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2:55 - 3:05pm
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2A.5: Updates from NCEP
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Vijay Tallapragada
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3:05 - 3:15pm
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2A.6: Update from NRL
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Jim Doyle
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3:15 - 3:25pm
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2A.7: Updates from DWD
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Michael Denhard
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3:25 - 3:35pm
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2A.8: Challenges in Ensembles Predictions of Genesis
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Sharan Majumdar
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3:35 - 4:00pm
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2A.9: Discussion Q&A
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4:00 - 4:15pm
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Break
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4:15 - 5:45pm
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2B: Impact of Recon Data on TC Forecasts
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Chairs: Chris Landsea / Lisa Bucci
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4:15 - 4:30pm
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2B.1: Jason Sippel
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Jason Sippel
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4:30 - 4:45pm
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2B.2: Ryan Torn
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Ryan Torn
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4:45 - 5:00pm
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2B.3: Xingren Wu EMC (G-IV and Windborne Balloon)
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Xingren Wu
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5:00 - 5:15pm
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2B.4: Impact of UxS Data on TC Forecasts & Future CONOP
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Jason Sippel / Lisa Bucci
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5:15 - 5:45pm
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2B.5: Discussion/Q&A
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5:45pm
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Adjourn Day 1
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Day 2 - Wed 11/15
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9:00 - 9:15am
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Opening Remarks
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9:15 - 11:00am
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3A: HAFS Implementation 23/24
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Chairs: Avichal Mehra / Frank Marks
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9:15 - 9:35am
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3A.1: HAFS 20233 IOC Performance
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Zhan / Xuejin
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9:35 - 9:45am
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3A.2: HReX 1
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Bin Liu (EMC)
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9:45 - 9:55am
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3A.3: HReX 2
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Andy Hazelton (AOML)
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9:55 - 10:05am
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3A.4: HReX 3
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Hyun-Sook Kim (AOML) & Lew Gramer
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10:05 - 10:15am
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3A.5: HReX 4
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Joe Olson / Georg Grell GSL
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10:15 - 10:25am
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3A.6: HReX 5
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Tim Marchok (GFDL)
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10:25 - 10:40am
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3A.7: HAFS Ensemble in the Cloud
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Raj Panda/Jiayi Peng (EMC)
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10:40 - 11:00am
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3A.8: Discussion/Q&A – Challenges from 2023 in moving into Operations
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11:00 - 11:15am
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Break
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11:15am - 12:15pm
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3B: HFIP R2O & O2R
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Chairs: Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan / Aaron Poyer
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11:15 - 11:30am
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3B.1: Progress with Dynamics / Multiple Moving Nests
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Bill Ramstorm & Ghassan Alaka
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11:30 - 11:45am
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3B.2: Progress in Physics
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Fanglin Yang & Andrew Hazelton
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11:45am - 12:00pm
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3B.3: Progress in DA
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Jing Cheng & Younghui Weng
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12:00 - 12:15pm
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3B.4: Ocean Coupling and Waves
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Hyun-Sook Kim & Maria Aristizabal
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12:15 - 1:30pm
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Lunch (on site)
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1:30 - 1:45pm
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Group Photo or Transition to Afternoon
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1:45 - 1:55pm
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Panelist Introductions
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1:45 - 3:15pm
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4A: Hurricane Observations Panel
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Chair: Joe Cione / Greg Foltz
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1:45 - 1:55pm
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4A.1: NHC & EMC
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Stephanie Stevenson/John Cangialosi
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1:55 - 2:05pm
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4A.2: AOML
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Jason Dunion, Heather Holbach or Rob Rogers
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2:05 - 2:15pm
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4A.3: HRD: showcase new tech, high res obs.
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Joe Cione
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2:15 - 2:25pm
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4A.4: NCAR
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George Bryan
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2:25 - 2:35pm
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4A.5: Navy
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Jim Doyle
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2:35 - 2:45pm
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4A.6: Ocean
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Greg Foltz (AOML) or Cheyenne Stienbarger (GOMO)
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2:45 - 2:55pm
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4A.7: Supporting the CHAOS Hurricane Field Campaign with GeoCollaborate
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Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications
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2:55 - 3:15pm
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4A.8: Discussion/Q&A
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3:15 - 3:30pm
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Break
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3:30 - 4:50pm
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4B: DA and Impacts
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Chair: Jason Sippel / Daryl Kleist
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3:30 - 3:45pm
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4B.1: Background
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Avichal, Zhan, Xuejin
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3:45 - 3:55pm
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4B.2: EMC Global DA
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Daryl Kleist
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3:55 - 4:05pm
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4B.3: JCSDA JEDI
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Daryl Kleist
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4:05 - 4:15pm
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4B.4: RRFS DA
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Curtis Alexander
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4:15 - 4:25pm
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4B.5: HAFS DA (UMD)
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Jon Poterjoy
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4:25 - 4:40pm
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4B.6: HAFS DA
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Xuguang Wang
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4:40 - 4:50pm
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4B.7: Marine JEDI
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Hyun-Sook Kim
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4:50 - 5:05pm
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Break
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5:05 - 6:00pm
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4C: Focused DA Discussion & Lessons Learned
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Chair: Daryl Kleist
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6:00pm
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Adjourn Day 2
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Day 3 - Thurs 11/16
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8:30 - 8:45am
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Opening Remarks
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8:45 - 10:30am
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5A: Social and Economic Impacts
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Chairs: Aaron & Gopal
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8:45 - 9:15am
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5A.1: Hurricane Ian Social Science Studies
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Laura Myers & Chandra Clark
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9:15 - 9:30am
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5A.2: NWS/AFS: Integration of Trigangulated Social Science Recommendations Into Local Tropical Cyclone Products & Services
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Jessica Schauer
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9:30 - 9:45am
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5A.3: OAR/WPO: Leveraging Social Science to Improve Tropical Cyclone Risk Communication: A Journey Through Past, Present, and Future Social Science Research and Development
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Castle Willamsberg / Gina Eosco
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9:45 - 10:00am
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5A.4: OSTI - SBES
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Valerie Were
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10:00 - 10:15am
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5A.5: The Social Value of Forecasting Hurricanes
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Renato Molina (UM/RSMAS)
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10:15 - 10:30am
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5A.6: Panel Discussion
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NHC, AFS, OSTI, WPO
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10:30 - 10:45am
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Break
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10:45am - 12:30pm
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5B: Coastal impacts & Vulnerability Brainstorming
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Chairs: Cody Fritz / Jamie Rhome
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10:45 - 11:00am
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5B.1: Royal Caribbean Cruise Lines
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Craig Setzer
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11:00 - 11:10am
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5B.2: University Research
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Dev Niyogi
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11:10 - 11:20am
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5B.3: NOS: An update on the NOAA National Ocean Service Storm Surge Modeling Team Research, research-to-operation and operational activities
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Saeed Moghimi
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11:20 - 11:30am
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5B.4: UFS Coastal Application Team perspective
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Shachak Pe’eri
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11:30 - 11:40am
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5B.5: Lee County Emergency Management
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Sandra Tapfumaneyi
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11:40 - 11:50am
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5B.6: FEMA Hurricane Liason Team
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Michael Spagnolo
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11:50am - 12:00pm
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5B.7: Dynamical Communication of Weather Risk: A User-Centered Design Approach
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Brian McNoldy
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12:00 - 12:30pm
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5B.8: Vulnerability Brainstorming
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NHC (Fritz), AFS (Schauer?), NOS, OWP, Presenters
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12:30 - 1:45pm
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Lunch
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1:45pm
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Transition to Afternoon
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1:45 - 2:30pm
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6A.1: Supplementals
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Chairs: Ben Woods / Chris Spells / Renee Richardson
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1:45 - 1:50pm
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6A.1A: Introduction/Background
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Session chairs split time
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1:50 - 2:00pm
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6A.1B: Ben Woods
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Ben Woods
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2:00 - 2:10pm
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6A.1C: Renee Richardson Keller
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Renee Richardson Keller
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2:10 - 2:20pm
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6A.1D: Chris Spells
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Chris Spells
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2:20 - 2:30pm
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6A.1E: Discussion/Q&A
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2:30 - 3:45pm
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6A.2: JTTI Program and Funded Projects
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Chair: Chandra Kondragunta
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2:30 - 2:50pm
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6A.2A: JTTI Programmatic Overview
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Chandra Kondeagunta
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2:50 - 3:00pm
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6A.2B: Galina Chirokova
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Galina Chirokova
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3:00 - 3:10pm
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6A.2C: Altug Aksoy
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Altug Aksoy
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3:10 - 3:20pm
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6A.2D: Zhaoxia Pu
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Zhaoxia Pu
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3:20 - 3:30pm
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6A.2E: Ping Zhu
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Ping Zhu
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3:30 - 3:45pm
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6A.2F: Discussion/Q&A
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3:45 - 3:55pm
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Break
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3:55 - 5:45pm
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6B: WPO Testbeds: H.O.T.
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Chairs: Jordan Dale / Wallace Hogsett
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3:55 - 4:10pm
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6B.1: WPO Testbeds overview
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Jordan Dale
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4:10 - 4:25pm
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6B.2: NHC HOT overview
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Wallace Hogsetet & Jason Sippel (NHC/HRD)
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4:25 - 4:40pm
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6B.2A: NOFO 1
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Jonathan Vigh
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4:40 - 4:55pm
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6B.2B: NOFO 2
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Mark DeMaria
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4:55 - 5:10pm
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6B.2C: NOFO 3
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Ryan Torn
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5:10 - 5:25pm
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6B.2D: NOFO 4
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Sarah Ditchek
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5:25 - 5:40pm
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6B.2E Q&A/Discussion
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5:45pm
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Adjourn Day 3
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Day 4 - Fri 11/17
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8:35 - 8:40am
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Opening Remarks
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8:40 - 10:45am
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7A: Developer Support and HPC
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Chairs: Avichal Mehra / Will Komaromi
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8:40 - 9:00am
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7A.1: DTC Support transition out
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Kathryn Newman
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9:00 - 9:20am
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7A.2: EPIC Support tranition in
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Maoyi Huang
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9:20 - 9:40am
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7A.3: Next Generation WSP Benefits and meeting critical needs
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Pablo Santos & Mark DeMaria
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9:40 - 10:00am
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7A.4 Physics across scales
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Mike Ek
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10:00 - 10:30am
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7A.5: R&D HPC
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Radhika Subramanian (DDir HPC) and Frank Indiviglio (CTO)
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10:30 - 10:45am
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7A.6: Discussion/Q&A
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10:45 - 10:55am
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Break
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10:55am - 1:30pm
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7B: Future and Strategic Planning
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Chair: Aaron Poyer
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11:00am - 11:50pm
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Discussion 1: Future plans for HPC: CTO Vision and User needs
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Frank Indivigilio, Radhika Subramanian
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11:50am - 12:00pm
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Break
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12:00 - 1:30pm
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Discussion 2: Strategic Goal Planning: 5-year (Required) and 10-year (Stretch) Strategy Ideas
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Frank Marks, Gopal
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1:30pm
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Day 4 Adjourn
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