2022 HFIP Annual Meeting

HFIP annual meeting 2022

Nov 7 - 9, 2022 ET

Miami, FL and Virtual

Download Agenda

HFIP Annual Meeting 

Meeting Objectives 

The primary objective of this meeting was to discuss the key HFIP strategies as enlisted in the HFIP document including advancing the next-generation Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) for operations and developing plans beyond its initial operational capacity with eventual goals of reliable and skillful guidance on TC track and intensity (including rapid intensification), storm size, genesis, storm surge, rainfall and tornadoes associated with TCs and Socio-Economic impacts. The current state of operational hurricane capabilities and challenges as well as the results and accomplishments from the 2022 hurricane season will also be discussed, allowing the development of future plans to further improve hurricane forecast guidance in the upcoming years. Additionally, HFIP is entering the next phase of the 2019-2024 strategic plan to improve the forecast and communication of surges from TCs; and incorporate risk communication research to create more effective watch & warning, and probabilistic risk products with a focus on vulnerable communities and industries through the use of social, behavioral, and economic sciences. 


Title Presenter Presentation
8:50am - 5:00pm DAY 1: MONDAY NOV 07, 2022
8:50 - 9:00am Welcome Remarks Paul Kucera  
9:00 - 9:40am Programmatic Updates Frank Marks
9:05am HFIP Annual Opening Aaron Poyer  
9:10am OSTI-Modeling Opening Remarks Kevin Garrett  
9:20am OAR WPO Opening Remarks Dorothy Koch
9:30am HPC Opening Remarks Frank Indiviglio
10:00am - 1:00pm Forecaster needs and Activities Supporting Operations Mike Brennan
10:00 - 10:30am NHC verification John Cangialosi  
10:30 - 11:00am NHC season summary, analysis, and forecasting challenges Brad Reinhart  
11:00 - 11:20am NHC technical roundup/AWIPS2 transition David Zelinsky  
11:20 - 11:40am Operational storm surge modeling Andrew Penny/Laura Alaka  
11:40am - 12:00pm WPC Rainfall/Flooding Alex Lamers  
12:00 - 12:30pm JTWC Forecast Tools, Challenges, and Priorities Levi Cowan  
2:30 - 5:00pm Challenging storm working group & Impacts of recon data on TC forecasts from global models Vijay Tallapragada
2:30 - 2:35pm Issues identified by the forecasters Mike Brennan/Levi Cowan  
2:35 - 2:40pm Issues identified by Modelers Zhan Zhang/Gus Alaka  
2:40 - 2:50pm Updates from UKMO Julian Heming  
2:50 - 3:05pm Updates from Navy Jim Doyle, Jon Moskaitis; Will Komaromi  
3:05 - 3:20pm Updates from ECMWF Linus Magnusson; Mohamed Dahoi  
3:20 - 3:35pm Updates from DWD/ICON Michael Denhard  
3:35 - 3:45pm Updates from NCEP Vijay Tallapragada  
4:10 - 5:00pm Impact of Recon Data on TC Forecasts
4:10 - 4:20pm Recon impact studies from ECMWF Linus Magnusson  
4:20 - 4:30pm Recon impact studies from NCEP Xingren Wu  
4:30 - 4:40pm Recon impact studies from AOML Jason Sippel  
4:40 - 4:50pm Sampling strategies for TC recon Ryan Torn  
8:50am - 5:00pm DAY 2: TUESDAY NOV 08, 2022
9:00 - 11:00am Operations and HAFS implementation Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan
9:00 - 9:15am HWRF/HMON Updates Zhan Zhang  
9:15 - 9:30am HAFS-A HFIP T&E Bin-Liu; co-lead: JungHoon Shin  
9:30 - 9:45am HAFS-S HFIP T&E Andrew Hazelton; co-lead: Ghassan Alaka  
9:45 - 10:00am NHC HAFS evaluation and impacts on HAFS implementation Jon Martinez  
10:00 - 10:45am Discussions on HAFS Physics & DA Weiguo, Yonghui, Xiaomin Chen, Zhan Zhang  
11:00am - 12:30pm Planning for 2023 Real-Time session Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan
11:00 - 11:15am HAFS plans and advances beyond 2023 IOC Xuejin and Zhan Zhang  
11:15 - 11:30am AOML Real-Time: Basin-Centric HAFS Ghassan Alaka & William Ramstrom  
11:30 - 11:45am GFDL SHiELD Marchok/Lucas  
11:45am - 12:00pm GSL updates Curtis/Georg Grell  
12:00 - 12:15pm PSL updates Jian-Wen Bao  
12:15 - 12:30pm Coupling Updates Hyun-Sook Kim and Biju Thomas  
1:30 - 2:20pm Hurricane Observations Panel Frank Marks
1:30 - 1:55pm Panelist introductions: NHC/EMC Jim Doyle  
1:55 - 2:00pm Drone Obs for Ian Joe Cione  
2:30 - 5:00pm DA and Impacts Avichal Mehra
2:30 - 2:40pm Background Avichal, Zhan, Xuejin  
2:40 - 3:00pm HWRF & HAFS DA - lessons learned and future paths Jason Sippel  
3:00 - 3:15pm EMC Global DA status and future plan Emily Liu  
3:15 - 3:30pm JCSDA JEDI Yannick Trémolet  
3:30 - 3:45pm RRFS DA status and future plan Curtis Alexander  
3:45 - 4:00pm HAFS DA efforts at UMD Jon Potterjoy  
4:00 - 4:15pm HAFS DA efforts at OU Xuguang Wang  
4:15 - 4:30pm Marine JEDI Travis Sluka  
8:50am - 5:00pm DAY 3: WEDNESDAY NOV 09, 2022
9:00 - 11:00am Social and Economic Impacts session Aaron Poyer and Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan
9:00 - 9:30am AFS: The Role of Ensembles in Risk Communication & The NWS Tropical Roadmap Jessica Schauer  
9:30 - 10:00am OAR: Social Science and probabilistic guidance/forecast Eosco/Williamsberg  
10:00 - 10:20am Model Ensembles Ryan Torn  
10:20 - 10:40am CIRA Mark DeMaria  
11:00am - 12:00pm Brainstorming Town Hall on Social, Economic, and Vulnerability Risk forecasts
11:45am - 12:00pm Development and Applications of anOcean, InfragravityWave, Morphological, and Structural Response Coupled Nearshore Prediction System John Warner  
1:30 - 2:30pm H.O.T updates and future Aaron Poyer
1:30 - 2:00pm Hurricane and Ocean Testbed: The first year and beyond Stephanie Stevenson  
2:00 - 2:30pm Science and Technology Integration - STI AOP Milestones, JTTI, Roadmap Wallace Hogsett  
2:30 - 3:30pm Support and Engagement Aaron Poyer
2:30 - 3:00pm EPIC Updates and Support Maoyi Huang  
3:00 - 3:30pm DTC updates & Community Support Kathryn Newman  
3:30 - 5:00pm Future Directions Frank Marks