HFIP Regional Modeling Team Workshop | September 2012

Sep 17 - 19, 2012 ET

NOAA Center for Climate and Weather Prediction (NCWCP)
5830 University Research Court, College Park, MD 20740


Improving Hurricane intensity forecast skill of dynamical regional models


Title Presenter Presentation
2:00 - 1:59am Day 1, Monday September 17, 2012
3:00pm Welcome remarks Robert Gall & William Lapenta
3:15pm Workshop introduction Young Kwon  
3:25pm EMC's activity on physics development Young Kwon  
3:40pm New SAS convection scheme for high resolution models Hua-lu Pan  
4:00pm Results using the new SAS scheme in HWRF model Qingfu Liu  
4:15pm Estimating and Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Intensity at the National Hurricane Center Dave Zelinsky  
4:35pm HWRF testing at the DTC: quantification of environmental biases and impact of cumulus parameterizations on storm structure and intensity Ligia Bernardet  
5:10pm Discussion on moist physics and hurricane intensity Chair: Hua-lu Pan; Co-Chair: Brad Ferrier  
2:00 - 1:59am Day 2, Tuesday September 18, 2012
11:10am A proposal to establish a dedicated Hurricane Model Evaluation and Improvement Project / HWRF Surface Layer Evaluations Joe Cione
Eric Ulhorn
11:40am Super-parameterization of roll vortices in the hurricane boundary layer Isaac Ginis  
12:00pm Dynamical initialization of tropical cyclones and predictability issues using COAMPS-TC James Doyle  
12:20pm Diagnostics for Evaluating Hurricane Model Forecast Error Sources Mark DeMaria  
1:00pm Discussion on role of air-sea interaction on hurricane intensity Chair: Isaac Ginis; Co-Chair: JW Bao  
3:30pm Evaluation and Improvement of HWRF PBL Physics using Aircraft Observations Jun Zhang  
3:50pm Toward Generalization of Sub-Grid Turbulent Mixing Parameterizations in TC Models Using Observations JW Bao & C. Fairall  
4:10pm Comparing Hurricane Structure in Research-Quality and Forecast-Quality Simulations Dave Nolan  
4:40pm Shear related stratification Gopal  
5:30pm Discussion and wrap-up Chair: Vijay Tallapragada and Co-Chair: Young Kwon