HFIP Regional Modeling Team Workshop | September 2012

Sep 17 - 19, 2012 ET

NOAA Center for Climate and Weather Prediction (NCWCP)
5830 University Research Court, College Park, MD 20740

Topic

Improving Hurricane intensity forecast skill of dynamical regional models

Agenda

Title Presenter Presentation
2:00 - 1:59am Day 1, Monday September 17, 2012
3:00pm Welcome remarks Robert Gall & William Lapenta
3:15pm Workshop introduction Young Kwon  
3:25pm EMC's activity on physics development Young Kwon  
3:40pm New SAS convection scheme for high resolution models Hua-lu Pan  
4:00pm Results using the new SAS scheme in HWRF model Qingfu Liu  
4:15pm Estimating and Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Intensity at the National Hurricane Center Dave Zelinsky  
4:35pm HWRF testing at the DTC: quantification of environmental biases and impact of cumulus parameterizations on storm structure and intensity Ligia Bernardet  
5:10pm Discussion on moist physics and hurricane intensity Chair: Hua-lu Pan; Co-Chair: Brad Ferrier  
2:00 - 1:59am Day 2, Tuesday September 18, 2012
11:10am A proposal to establish a dedicated Hurricane Model Evaluation and Improvement Project / HWRF Surface Layer Evaluations Joe Cione
Eric Ulhorn
 ,  
11:40am Super-parameterization of roll vortices in the hurricane boundary layer Isaac Ginis  
12:00pm Dynamical initialization of tropical cyclones and predictability issues using COAMPS-TC James Doyle  
12:20pm Diagnostics for Evaluating Hurricane Model Forecast Error Sources Mark DeMaria  
1:00pm Discussion on role of air-sea interaction on hurricane intensity Chair: Isaac Ginis; Co-Chair: JW Bao  
3:30pm Evaluation and Improvement of HWRF PBL Physics using Aircraft Observations Jun Zhang  
3:50pm Toward Generalization of Sub-Grid Turbulent Mixing Parameterizations in TC Models Using Observations JW Bao & C. Fairall  
4:10pm Comparing Hurricane Structure in Research-Quality and Forecast-Quality Simulations Dave Nolan  
4:40pm Shear related stratification Gopal  
5:30pm Discussion and wrap-up Chair: Vijay Tallapragada and Co-Chair: Young Kwon