HFIP Physics Workshop 2011

Aug 9, 2011, 2:00am - Aug 12, 2011, 1:59am ET

Colony South Hotel & Conference Center
7401 Surratts Road, Clinton, MD 20735

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Goal

Identify the role of PBL and microphysical processes on the track and intensity forecast skills of the operational hurricane models – what we know/don’t know currently and how we can improve them.

Questions to be answered:

  1. Are the current PBL schemes used in the hurricane models are appropriate to hurricane situations, such as high wind shear, moist adiabatically neutral environment?
  2. If inappropriate, what kind of scheme is good and why? (e.g. the non-local PBL used in HWRF and GFDL models tends to have too tall PBL and too diffusive compare to observation)
  3. Are roll-vortices in a highly sheared hurricane boundary layer playing an important role? Is worth to investigate?
  4. Do microphysical processes play vital role in hurricane track and intensity?
  5. Do we need a higher-moment MP scheme in order to get the realistic simulation of hurricanes? What are the pros and cons for higher moment and lower moment schemes?
  6. Is it worth to use bin-microphysics schemes in order to calibrate the bulk-microphysics scheme?

Agenda

Title Presenter Presentation
2:00 - 1:59am Day 1 - Tuesday, August 9, 2011
11:00am Welcoming Remarks R. Gall/W. Lapenta
11:10am Workshop Introduction Y. Kwon  
11:20am - 12:20pm First Session: Boundary layer parameterization in operational models Y.Kwon
11:20 - 11:50am Overview of the PBL schemes in hurricane models David Nolan  
11:50am - 12:00pm NRL TC-COAMPS J. Doyle/Y. Jin  
12:00 - 12:10pm HWRF/GFDL model PBL scheme J. Han  
12:10 - 12:20pm NCAR AHW J. Dudhia  
12:50 - 2:30pm Second Session: Boundary layer parameterization discussion - What’s the appropriate approach to improve hurricane PBL prediction D. Nolan & M. Bender
3:30 - 4:30pm Third Session: Boundary layer parameterization in research point of view F. Marks
3:30 - 3:45pm On hurricane boundary layer parameterizations: Lessons learned from observations Jun Zhang  
3:45 - 4:00pm Developing a Parameterization of TCBL roll Vortices Ralph Foster  
4:00 - 4:15pm A Unified Convection Scheme: ‘UNICON’ SS Park  
4:15 - 4:30pm Evaluation of the HWRF Model via Comparing with the ARW Model Gopal/JW Bao  
5:00pm - 7:30am Fourth Session: Discussions on PBL - What have we learnt? - How to improve PBL/convection parameterization in hurricanes? R. Foster & I. Ginis
2:00 - 1:59am Day 2 - Wednesday, August 10, 2011
11:00am - 12:00pm First session: Microphysics schemes in the operational hurricane models R. Fovell
11:00 - 11:30am Microphysics HFIP Physics Workshop Brad Ferrier  
11:30 - 11:40am EMC/GFDL Ferrier Microphysics in NCEP Operational Hurricane Models E. Aligo  
11:40 - 11:50am NRL - Evaluating Microphysics Schemes in COAMPS®-TC J. Doyle/R. Hodur  
11:50am NCAR - HFIP Physics in AHW Part 2 J. Dudhia  
12:30 - 2:00pm Second Session: Discussion on operational microphysical scheme B. Ferrier & S. Braun
12:30 - 2:00pm Summary of the Mesoscale Physics Workshop Ferrier  
3:00 - 4:30pm Third Session: Microphysics schemes in the research aspect J. Doyle
3:00 - 3:30pm Microphysics Greg Thompson  
3:30 - 3:45pm Structure of a winter precipitation system as seen by satellite, ground-based radar, and a WRF simulation Scott Braun  
3:45 - 4:00pm SIMULTATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS and Weather Forecasts Alexander Khain  
4:00 - 4:15pm Model physics influence on hurricane track, structure (& intensity) Robert Fovell  
4:15 - 4:30pm Impact of microphysical parameterizations on the structure and intensity of simulated hurricanes: Using satellite data to determine the parameterizations that produce Svetla Hristova-Veleva  
5:00 - 7:30pm Fourth Session: Discussion R. Fovell & G. Thompson
2:00 - 1:59am Day 3 - Thursday, August 11, 2011
11:00am - 12:30pm Discussions on the action item: V. Tallapragada & W. Lapenta
11:00 - 11:30am Collaboration between research and operation Ligia Bernardet  
11:30am - 12:30pm Discussion 1. How to proceed physics development in hurricane model 2. The role of HFIP regional modeling team 3. How to facilitate research and operation sectors
1:00 - 2:00pm Plan for the possible next year’s workshop R. Gall & Y. Kwon